March 16, 2016
While Trump does have very strong supporters, he is also a highly polarizing figure who has an equal number of critics. Trump is even polarizing among those in his own party, and may possibly push many Republicans to jump ship.
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“Among Republicans who did not vote for him this Tuesday night, 61 percent said they’d seriously consider a third party candidate if it were Trump vs. Clinton in November. Indeed, in another question, 45 percent of non-Trump supporters flatly said they would not vote for him in November if he were the party’s nominee.”
Additionally, roughly 40 percent of Trump supporters have said that they will vote third party if Trump does not get the nomination.
These numbers are staggering and have not been seen in any previous election. Typically, third party candidates struggle for just a few small percentage points of the total vote.
On the other end of the aisle, Hillary Clinton’s well-known ties to Wall Street, and her connection to the Obama administration, has left her unpopular among Democrats — despite the fact she is winning the race. If she gets the nomination, there is a good chance Sanders’ supporters will flock to third party candidates as well.
If the two remaining candidates are, in fact, Clinton and Trump, there is a possibility that an unprecedented number of voters will be pushed to vote for independent candidates.
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